Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.000545 0.000629 0.000719 0.000822 0.000936 0.001058 0.001198
2025-06-15 0.000410 0.000525 0.000658 0.000819 0.001010 0.001227 0.001490
2025-06-22 0.000339 0.000466 0.000620 0.000818 0.001061 0.001347 0.001705
2025-06-29 0.000281 0.000414 0.000583 0.000807 0.001094 0.001441 0.001890
2025-07-06 0.000235 0.000369 0.000546 0.000791 0.001114 0.001516 0.002047
2025-07-13 0.000211 0.000349 0.000539 0.000810 0.001176 0.001643 0.002271
2025-07-20 0.000188 0.000329 0.000529 0.000823 0.001229 0.001757 0.002480
2025-07-27 0.000163 0.000301 0.000505 0.000814 0.001250 0.001829 0.002635
2025-08-03 0.000140 0.000274 0.000479 0.000798 0.001260 0.001885 0.002769
2025-08-10 0.000127 0.000260 0.000471 0.000807 0.001305 0.001988 0.002966
2025-08-17 0.000113 0.000244 0.000459 0.000809 0.001337 0.002073 0.003142
2025-08-24 0.000096 0.000219 0.000430 0.000782 0.001326 0.002098 0.003233
2025-08-31 0.000080 0.000197 0.000402 0.000757 0.001317 0.002125 0.003330
2025-09-07 0.000071 0.000184 0.000390 0.000755 0.001342 0.002200 0.003496
2025-09-14 0.000063 0.000172 0.000379 0.000754 0.001367 0.002276 0.003663
2025-09-21 0.000054 0.000159 0.000363 0.000744 0.001377 0.002330 0.003801
2025-09-28 0.000047 0.000145 0.000346 0.000729 0.001379 0.002371 0.003918
2025-10-05 0.000043 0.000142 0.000347 0.000747 0.001433 0.002491 0.004155
2025-10-12 0.000040 0.000137 0.000345 0.000758 0.001478 0.002598 0.004373
2025-10-19 0.000035 0.000127 0.000333 0.000750 0.001489 0.002652 0.004514
2025-10-26 0.000030 0.000116 0.000317 0.000735 0.001488 0.002689 0.004628
2025-11-02 0.000027 0.000112 0.000315 0.000744 0.001527 0.002788 0.004839
2025-11-09 0.000024 0.000106 0.000308 0.000745 0.001554 0.002867 0.005020